In this article, I’ll use the Strikeout Model to sift through the pitching options on DraftKings. We’ll discuss the threshold probabilities and how they combine with projected ownership to allow us to consistently make +EV decisions at the starting pitcher position.

Pitchers to play

Gerrit Cole & Lucas Giolito

At 24 and 23.6 projected DK points respectively, these two are in a tier of their own. Their 8.9 and 8.4 projected Ks are two strikeouts ahead of everyone else, leading to threshold probabilities that no one else can compete with. 

Both will be popular, but for good reason.

Nathan Eovaldi

There are two pitchers I’m interested in outside of the studs. Eovaldi is the first. This play would assume that the model (particularly the...

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