Russell Knox, $7,600
With most people jamming in as many top-priced players as they can, the middle $7,000 tier is going to be lower owned than it should. Knox’s driver has been problematic, unfortunate for a guy who used to be an automatic fairway finder, but the irons have come alive again. He’s 10th in approach in the field over the past three months and his lack of distance off the tee won’t be a concern at such a short course. Plus, Scottish players in the wind, if it picks up, are always welcome.
Brian Stuard, $7,500
Short, Bermuda tracks are Stuard’s jam. As are wedges, chipping and putting — three things that will be necessary at Port Royal GC. Projected to be lesser owned than even Knox, Stuard excels in very specific areas among this field. Over his past 50 rounds, despite being 99th in SG: OTT, he’s sixth in accuracy. Overall, he’s 69th in approach, yet fifth in proximity from 100-125 yards, the key approach range for the week. Then, on Bermuda grass, he’s gaining almost a stroke per event on the greens, while he’s been in the negatives on Bentgrass. Just a lot of arrows pointing up for Stumanji Jr.
Camilo Villegas, $6,400
If you believe in recent form, Villegas is mispriced at $6,400. He led the Sanderson Farms tee-to-green, then followed that up with gaining three strokes on approach at Shriners, despite missing the cut. The putter has been ice cold, but being back on Bermuda greens should help. Additionally, if the wind picks up, Villegas’ short game is strong enough to help him grind out pars.